Season 2026 · Week 1
THE TAPE
What actually happened, past the win-loss column.
Read the Week 1 writeup📋 Week 1 all-play — your record if you played everyone
One week of schedule is noise. This is the version that isn't.
Alex 168.069-0(1-0)EARNED
Louis 165.068-1(1-0)EARNED
Andrew 152.127-2(1-0)EARNED
Jerome 150.306-3(0-1)ROBBED
Ernie 147.065-4(1-0)EARNED
Michael 141.724-5(0-1)
Brent 136.263-6(0-1)
Natchez 121.002-7(1-0)LUCKY
Logan 108.261-8(0-1)
Pat 99.460-9(0-1)
🪑 The coaching tax — points left on your bench
Every point here was on your roster and you chose not to start it.
Pat 99.46 → 131.56−32.10
Alex 168.06 → 197.66−29.60
Ernie 147.06 → 171.16−24.10
Brent 136.26 → 153.86−17.60
Logan 108.26 → 125.06−16.80
Andrew 152.12 → 168.62−16.50
Natchez 121.00 → 134.70−13.70
Michael 141.72 → 155.00−13.28
Louis 165.06 → 165.76−0.70
Jerome 150.30 → 150.30PERFECT
🎲 Did your draft slot decide your week?
r = -0.85
Slots 1–5 averaged 153.35.
Slots 6–10 averaged 124.51.
Slots 6–10 averaged 124.51.
A snake draft is supposed to wash this out. One week is not proof of anything — but it's the number to watch before next August's draft-order argument.
🔗 Roster correlation — how much of you is one NFL team
Headcount isn't exposure. Four players from one team can be a kicker, a defense and two bench bodies. The share is what hurts on a bye.
Louis Buf ×546.8% of score
Josh Allen, Dalton Kincaid, Tyler Bass, Bills, Khalil Shakir · 9 NFL teams rostered
Ernie Bal ×347.9% of score
Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers, Tyler Loop · 11 NFL teams rostered
Alex SF ×38.4% of score
George Kittle, Eddy Pineiro, De'Zhaun Stribling · 11 NFL teams rostered
Logan Cin ×233.4% of score
Joe Burrow, Evan McPherson · 13 NFL teams rostered
Pat Min ×231.4% of score
Justin Jefferson, Jordan Mason · 13 NFL teams rostered
Andrew KC ×226.4% of score
Kenneth Walker III, Patrick Mahomes · 11 NFL teams rostered
Natchez Dal ×225.9% of score
Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb · 11 NFL teams rostered
Brent Sea ×225.8% of score
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jason Myers · 11 NFL teams rostered
Michael LAC ×215.0% of score
Ladd McConkey, Cameron Dicker · 12 NFL teams rostered
Jerome Ari ×29.3% of score
Jeremiyah Love, Tyler Allgeier · 12 NFL teams rostered
🏟️ Which offenses are funding EPSOFF
Bal 109.26 from 4 starters7.9%
held by Brent, Ernie
Chi 92.86 from 5 starters6.7%
held by Alex, Brent, Ernie, Logan, Louis
Buf 88.56 from 5 starters6.4%
held by Louis, Pat
Det 79.10 from 3 starters5.7%
held by Alex, Andrew, Michael
Cin 69.06 from 5 starters5.0%
held by Ernie, Logan, Michael, Pat
📐 Where you actually beat the league
Points above or below the league average at each lineup slot.
Alex
QB +15.9RB +26.5WR -17.5TE -7.7W/R/T +17.4K +2.0DEF -7.5
Louis
QB +13.3RB +0.8WR -6.0TE +9.1W/R/T +4.4K +4.0DEF +0.5
Andrew
QB +2.4RB -14.7WR +5.5TE -6.8W/R/T +22.8K -8.0DEF +12.0
Jerome
QB +0.8RB +13.9WR -5.9TE -0.6W/R/T -3.3K +0.1DEF +6.5
Ernie
QB +3.1RB +10.5WR +4.5TE -1.4W/R/T -8.1K +5.0DEF -5.5
Michael
QB -8.0RB -7.1WR +22.7TE -1.1W/R/T -0.2K -7.0DEF +3.5
Brent
QB -8.6RB +21.3WR +5.3TE -10.9W/R/T -6.8K -1.9DEF -1.0
Natchez
QB -7.5RB -16.1WR -2.0TE +13.6W/R/T -7.5K +3.0DEF -1.5
Logan
QB -6.2RB -19.1WR -18.0TE +16.9W/R/T -9.8K +10.1DEF -4.5
Pat
QB -5.2RB -15.8WR +11.4TE -10.9W/R/T -9.0K -7.5DEF -2.5
⭐ Top performances — benched ones included
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · Alex40.60
Kenneth Walker III RB · Andrew40.10
Caleb Williams QB · Alex39.26
Derrick Henry RB · Brent38.80
Josh Allen QB · Louis36.66
Ashton Jeanty RB · Ernie36.20
D'Andre Swift RB · Louis34.90
Bijan Robinson RB · Jerome34.80
Box scores pulled from Yahoo league 56928 on 9/20/2026. All-play, optimal-lineup, correlation and positional-edge math computed from starter/bench data in lib/weekly.ts.