Season 2026 · Week 6
THE TAPE
What actually happened, past the win-loss column.
Read the Week 6 writeup🏁 Season to date — through Week 6
Luck is real wins minus the wins your scores earned against the whole league.
Alex 5-1 · 899.6242-12+0.33
Michael 4-2 · 866.5432-22+0.44
Ernie 4-2 · 834.6631-23+0.56
Natchez 4-2 · 753.6419-35+1.89
Brent 3-3 · 876.6235-19-0.89
Louis 3-3 · 804.6631-23-0.44
Andrew 3-3 · 775.8628-26-0.11
Logan 3-3 · 690.4613-41+1.56
Jerome 1-5 · 795.5024-30-1.67
Pat 0-6 · 713.5615-39-1.67
📈 Trend lines — every week so far
Score each week, where it ranked, and the move since last week.
Louis 165.1 → 121.3 → 86.7 → 150.4 → 141.8 → 139.4▲5-2.4
Alex 168.1 → 157.2 → 154.5 → 114.5 → 173.3 → 132.0▲1-41.3
Pat 99.5 → 116.5 → 126.2 → 108.7 → 134.9 → 127.8▲5-7.1
Ernie 147.1 → 99.7 → 148.4 → 156.1 → 156.6 → 126.8-29.8
Logan 108.3 → 106.1 → 117.0 → 126.5 → 107.9 → 124.7▲4+16.8
Brent 136.3 → 129.7 → 147.0 → 162.1 → 180.9 → 120.7▼5-60.2
Michael 141.7 → 132.8 → 141.1 → 151.5 → 180.9 → 118.6▼5-62.3
Jerome 150.3 → 104.1 → 154.4 → 131.7 → 155.2 → 99.9▼3-55.3
Andrew 152.1 → 137.0 → 164.7 → 132.7 → 95.3 → 94.1▲1-1.2
Natchez 121.0 → 153.1 → 112.4 → 134.1 → 140.1 → 92.9▼3-47.2
🧬 Team identity — edges that held every week
One big game at a slot is a player. The same edge 6 weeks running is how the roster is built.
Pat
TE hole
Logan
RB hole
🔁 Benched the wrong week
Sat him when he went off, started him when he didn't.
David Montgomery · PatWk1 bench 30.9 · Wk4 start 4.3
David Montgomery · PatWk1 bench 30.9 · Wk2 start 4.4
Isaiah Likely · LoganWk5 bench 32.4 · Wk2 start 8.3
David Montgomery · PatWk1 bench 30.9 · Wk3 start 7.3
DJ Moore · AlexWk1 bench 23.0 · Wk2 start -0.1
📋 Week 6 all-play — your record if you played everyone
One week of schedule is noise. This is the version that isn't.
Louis 139.409-0(1-0)EARNED
Alex 132.048-1(1-0)EARNED
Pat 127.767-2(0-1)ROBBED
Ernie 126.806-3(1-0)EARNED
Logan 124.745-4(1-0)EARNED
Brent 120.684-5(0-1)
Michael 118.603-6(1-0)LUCKY
Jerome 99.862-7(0-1)
Andrew 94.081-8(0-1)
Natchez 92.920-9(0-1)
🪑 The coaching tax — points left on your bench
Every point here was on your roster and you chose not to start it.
Jerome 99.86 → 134.26−34.40
Natchez 92.92 → 124.34−31.42
Logan 124.74 → 135.84−11.10
Michael 118.60 → 122.30−3.70
Ernie 126.80 → 130.00−3.20
Louis 139.40 → 140.80−1.40
Pat 127.76 → 127.86−0.10
Alex 132.04 → 132.04PERFECT
Brent 120.68 → 120.68PERFECT
Andrew 94.08 → 94.08PERFECT
🎲 Did your draft slot decide your week?
r = -0.32
Slots 1–5 averaged 123.76.
Slots 6–10 averaged 111.62.
Slots 6–10 averaged 111.62.
A snake draft is supposed to wash this out. One week is not proof of anything — but it's the number to watch before next August's draft-order argument.
🔗 Roster correlation — how much of you is one NFL team
Headcount isn't exposure. Four players from one team can be a kicker, a defense and two bench bodies. The share is what hurts on a bye.
Natchez Jax ×423.0% of score
Parker Washington, Cam Little, Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence · 9 NFL teams rostered
Alex SF ×323.0% of score
George Kittle, Eddy Pineiro, 49ers · 9 NFL teams rostered
Louis Buf ×321.2% of score
Josh Allen, Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir · 11 NFL teams rostered
Ernie Bal ×313.2% of score
Zay Flowers, Tyler Loop, Lamar Jackson · 11 NFL teams rostered
Andrew KC ×246.6% of score
Patrick Mahomes, Kenneth Walker III · 12 NFL teams rostered
Logan GB ×235.8% of score
Jordan Love, Matthew Golden · 11 NFL teams rostered
Pat NO ×234.7% of score
Tyler Shough, Alvin Kamara · 12 NFL teams rostered
Michael NE ×228.1% of score
Drake Maye, Patriots · 12 NFL teams rostered
Brent Sea ×227.7% of score
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jason Myers · 10 NFL teams rostered
Jerome Hou ×221.6% of score
Woody Marks, Ka'imi Fairbairn · 12 NFL teams rostered
🏟️ Which offenses are funding EPSOFF
SF 97.36 from 6 starters8.3%
held by Alex, Jerome, Michael, Pat
LAR 76.18 from 7 starters6.5%
held by Alex, Brent, Ernie, Jerome, Logan, Louis
Car 73.24 from 4 starters6.2%
held by Alex, Brent, Ernie
KC 72.18 from 4 starters6.1%
held by Andrew, Ernie
NYG 62.40 from 4 starters5.3%
held by Andrew, Jerome, Logan, Michael
📐 Where you actually beat the league
Points above or below the league average at each lineup slot.
Louis
QB -0.8RB +9.7WR +1.0TE +0.7W/R/T +7.1K +1.8DEF +2.3
Alex
QB +0.3RB +18.9WR -2.8TE +7.8W/R/T -6.3K -2.8DEF -0.8
Pat
QB +8.9RB +1.5WR +7.0TE -7.0W/R/T +2.7K -6.3DEF +3.3
Ernie
QB +1.4RB +4.4WR -6.5TE -0.8W/R/T +3.6K -3.3DEF +10.3
Logan
QB +2.6RB -8.6WR +0.9TE +0.9W/R/T +10.7K +4.8DEF -4.3
Brent
QB -2.7RB -9.4WR +10.8TE +8.4W/R/T +1.4K +0.8DEF -6.3
Michael
QB +4.7RB +2.3WR -5.2TE +2.0W/R/T -1.9K -1.3DEF +0.3
Jerome
QB -0.2RB -12.5WR +5.1TE -5.9W/R/T -5.3K +3.8DEF -2.8
Andrew
QB -7.6RB +2.0WR -8.5TE -8.2W/R/T -6.8K +0.8DEF +4.8
Natchez
QB -6.6RB -8.6WR -1.5TE +2.2W/R/T -5.3K +1.8DEF -6.8
⭐ Top performances — benched ones included
Christian McCaffrey RB · Michael33.20
Kenneth Walker III RB · Andrew31.90
Malik Nabers WR · Jerome30.50
Tyler Shough QB · Pat28.46
Trevor Lawrence QB · NatchezBENCHED28.34
James Cook III RB · Pat27.30
Germie Bernard WR · JeromeBENCHED25.70
Bhayshul Tuten RB · Alex25.70
Box scores pulled from Yahoo league 56928 on 10/20/2026. All-play, optimal-lineup, correlation and positional-edge math computed from starter/bench data in lib/weekly.ts.