Season 2026 · Week 2
THE TAPE
What actually happened, past the win-loss column.
Read the Week 2 writeup🏁 Season to date — through Week 2
Luck is real wins minus the wins your scores earned against the whole league.
Alex 2-0 · 325.2818-00.00
Andrew 2-0 · 289.0814-4+0.44
Natchez 2-0 · 274.0610-8+0.89
Louis 1-1 · 286.3812-6-0.33
Michael 1-1 · 274.5410-8-0.11
Ernie 1-1 · 246.765-13+0.44
Logan 1-1 · 214.343-15+0.67
Brent 0-2 · 265.948-10-0.89
Jerome 0-2 · 254.387-11-0.78
Pat 0-2 · 216.003-15-0.33
📈 Trend lines — every week so far
Score each week, where it ranked, and the move since last week.
Alex 168.1 → 157.2-10.8
Natchez 121.0 → 153.1▲6+32.1
Andrew 152.1 → 137.0-15.2
Michael 141.7 → 132.8▲2-8.9
Brent 136.3 → 129.7▲2-6.6
Louis 165.1 → 121.3▼4-43.7
Pat 99.5 → 116.5▲3+17.1
Logan 108.3 → 106.1▲1-2.2
Jerome 150.3 → 104.1▼5-46.2
Ernie 147.1 → 99.7▼5-47.4
🧬 Team identity — edges that held every week
One big game at a slot is a player. The same edge 2 weeks running is how the roster is built.
Pat
TE hole
Jerome
WR hole
Michael
WR strengthQB hole
Logan
RB hole
Natchez
TE strength
Andrew
WR strengthW/R/T strengthRB hole
Brent
WR strengthQB holeTE holeW/R/T hole
Alex
RB strengthW/R/T strengthWR hole
Ernie
W/R/T hole
Louis
QB strengthTE strengthWR hole
🔁 Benched the wrong week
Sat him when he went off, started him when he didn't.
David Montgomery · PatWk1 bench 30.9 · Wk2 start 4.4
DJ Moore · AlexWk1 bench 23.0 · Wk2 start -0.1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt · AndrewWk1 bench 16.1 · Wk2 start 5.8
Mike Evans · PatWk1 bench 16.9 · Wk2 start 8.4
📋 Week 2 all-play — your record if you played everyone
One week of schedule is noise. This is the version that isn't.
Alex 157.229-0(1-0)EARNED
Natchez 153.068-1(1-0)EARNED
Andrew 136.967-2(1-0)EARNED
Michael 132.826-3(1-0)EARNED
Brent 129.685-4(0-1)ROBBED
Louis 121.324-5(0-1)
Pat 116.543-6(0-1)
Logan 106.082-7(1-0)LUCKY
Jerome 104.081-8(0-1)
Ernie 99.700-9(0-1)
🪑 The coaching tax — points left on your bench
Every point here was on your roster and you chose not to start it.
Ernie 99.70 → 140.50−40.80
Alex 157.22 → 174.02−16.80
Natchez 153.06 → 167.16−14.10
Andrew 136.96 → 150.58−13.62
Pat 116.54 → 129.98−13.44
Logan 106.08 → 119.38−13.30
Jerome 104.08 → 116.98−12.90
Brent 129.68 → 140.78−11.10
Louis 121.32 → 130.62−9.30
Michael 132.82 → 133.02−0.20
🎲 Did your draft slot decide your week?
r = 0.07
Slots 1–5 averaged 122.40.
Slots 6–10 averaged 129.09.
Slots 6–10 averaged 129.09.
A snake draft is supposed to wash this out. One week is not proof of anything — but it's the number to watch before next August's draft-order argument.
🔗 Roster correlation — how much of you is one NFL team
Headcount isn't exposure. Four players from one team can be a kicker, a defense and two bench bodies. The share is what hurts on a bye.
Louis Buf ×568.1% of score
Josh Allen, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Tyler Bass, Bills · 9 NFL teams rostered
Alex SF ×422.3% of score
George Kittle, Eddy Pineiro, 49ers, Kaelon Black · 10 NFL teams rostered
Ernie Bal ×323.4% of score
Lamar Jackson, Tyler Loop, Zay Flowers · 11 NFL teams rostered
Natchez Jax ×316.2% of score
Parker Washington, Cam Little, Trevor Lawrence · 11 NFL teams rostered
Brent Sea ×239.7% of score
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jason Myers · 11 NFL teams rostered
Jerome SF ×235.0% of score
Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel Sr. · 12 NFL teams rostered
Logan Cin ×226.6% of score
Joe Burrow, Evan McPherson · 12 NFL teams rostered
Pat Phi ×225.0% of score
Dallas Goedert, DeVonta Smith · 13 NFL teams rostered
Andrew KC ×219.9% of score
Kenneth Walker III, Patrick Mahomes · 11 NFL teams rostered
Michael NYG ×27.5% of score
Cam Skattebo, Jaxson Dart · 12 NFL teams rostered
🏟️ Which offenses are funding EPSOFF
Buf 106.92 from 7 starters8.5%
held by Alex, Louis, Pat
SF 103.48 from 7 starters8.2%
held by Alex, Jerome, Michael, Pat
Dal 100.06 from 5 starters8.0%
held by Brent, Natchez, Pat
Det 82.00 from 4 starters6.5%
held by Alex, Andrew, Brent, Michael
LAR 77.90 from 5 starters6.2%
held by Alex, Andrew, Ernie, Logan, Louis
📐 Where you actually beat the league
Points above or below the league average at each lineup slot.
Alex
QB -10.3RB +26.4WR -16.3TE +8.2W/R/T +26.3K -2.1DEF -0.8
Natchez
QB +10.3RB -2.0WR +21.8TE +6.3W/R/T -3.2K +0.8DEF -6.8
Andrew
QB -1.4RB -7.1WR +13.8TE -1.4W/R/T +12.1K -3.1DEF -1.8
Michael
QB -11.0RB +6.2WR +9.0TE +5.4W/R/T -5.2K -5.2DEF +7.8
Brent
QB -10.6RB -1.9WR +24.2TE -10.5W/R/T -9.9K -0.1DEF +12.8
Louis
QB +24.3RB -0.6WR -16.5TE +10.7W/R/T -13.0K -2.6DEF -6.8
Pat
QB -3.3RB -1.3WR -13.4TE -10.4W/R/T +12.5K +8.8DEF -2.3
Logan
QB -4.3RB -13.8WR -0.3TE -3.5W/R/T -4.9K +4.8DEF +2.3
Jerome
QB +9.5RB -3.5WR -22.7TE +3.1W/R/T -7.2K -0.1DEF -0.8
Ernie
QB -3.2RB -2.1WR +0.3TE -8.3W/R/T -7.9K -1.1DEF -3.8
⭐ Top performances — benched ones included
Josh Allen QB · Louis44.82
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · Brent44.50
Davante Adams WR · Alex41.50
CeeDee Lamb WR · Natchez35.30
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · Andrew35.20
Jonathan Taylor RB · Alex32.20
Dak Prescott QB · Natchez30.76
Brock Purdy QB · Jerome29.98
Box scores pulled from Yahoo league 56928 on 9/22/2026. All-play, optimal-lineup, correlation and positional-edge math computed from starter/bench data in lib/weekly.ts.